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Is It Too Late to Buy SpaceX Stock After Its Monster Third-Quarter Earnings Report? Here's the Answer.

2026-10-24 06:11 •Jack Delaney •The Motley Fool Positive Axe Cap view: Selective •Equities•Earnings•IPOs•Technology•AI•Semiconductors •SPCX

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SpaceX's AI Surge: Too Late to Buy?

SpaceX’s Q3 earnings smashed forecasts driven by its AI division, but is the rally overdone for South African investors?

SpaceX's latest quarter revealed a striking leap in AI revenue, jumping to $7.6 billion from just $813 million a year ago. While this tech spectacle feels miles away from the Johannesburg Stock Exchange, South African investors should watch the USD/ZAR closely. The rand usually takes a hit when global tech giants rally strongly in dollars, making local tech or export-dependent stocks less appealing short term. South Africa’s market doesn’t have a listed AI heavyweight to mimic SpaceX’s surge, so the real play is currency-driven. If you expect the dollar to remain robust against the rand, especially amid the Fed’s interest rate outlook, keeping an eye on USD/ZAR’s swings is key. However, this depends heavily on US macro data and geopolitical risks, which could reverse dollar strength quickly. this is just our opinion and not financial advice

How I would invest

I’d watch the rand/USD pair closely and avoid chasing speculative exposure linked to SpaceX-like tech hype here. Stick to buying high-quality rand-hedged miners like AngloGold Ashanti if the currency weakens. Wait before adding fintech or local tech hopefuls until more concrete earnings momentum materialises.

What I would watch
  • USD/ZAR
  • AngloGold Ashanti
What could go wrong
  • US dollar weakness from dovish Fed shifts
  • Renewed rand strength from local political or economic stability
How strongly I feel

5/10

SpaceX reported strong Q3 2026 earnings with $14.5B revenue (beating $12.7B estimates) and $4.4B net income. The AI division generated $7.6B in revenue, more than half of total revenue, up from $813M year-over-year. While the stock has experienced significant volatility since its June IPO, analysts suggest long-term investors with conviction should not hesitate to buy, as the company is still in early stages of capturing its $26.5T AI-focused total addressable market.

Our take is based on reporting first published by The Motley Fool.

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