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Is The Metals Company a Potential Millionaire-Maker Stock?

2026-08-25 06:15 Lawrence Nga The Motley Fool Neutral Axe Cap view: Selective EquitiesEarningsCommoditiesMetals TMCTMCWW

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Deep-Sea Mining: The Metals Company’s High-Risk Bet

The Metals Company aims to mine critical metals from the deep ocean, but huge hurdles remain before investors can get excited.

Deep-sea mining has been hyped as the next big thing in sourcing essential metals like nickel, copper, and cobalt—key inputs for batteries and clean tech. The Metals Company (TMC) is an early player targeting polymetallic nodules on the ocean floor. Sounds futuristic, but don’t let that blind you. Regulatory approval is far from guaranteed, environmental pushback is fierce, and actual commercial-scale mining is untested. For South African investors, this is not a case to jump in blindly. Our local miners like AngloGold Ashanti benefit from proven deposits on land, a clear contrast to TMC’s unproven setup. That said, if TMC navigates these hurdles successfully, it could disrupt parts of the commodity supply chain, potentially weakening prices for some metals and impacting local miners negatively. The USD/ZAR could also ripple if nickel or cobalt prices swing sharply. For now, TMC remains a high-risk, speculative play, not a core portfolio holding. this is just our opinion and not financial advice

How I would invest

Watch TMC closely but stay on the sidelines for now. Meanwhile, prefer established South African resource stocks like AngloGold Ashanti if you want commodity exposure. Hedge currency risk via USD/ZAR as metal prices influence the rand.

What I would watch
  • The Metals Company (TMC)
  • AngloGold Ashanti
  • USD/ZAR
What could go wrong
  • Regulatory approval delays or denial
  • Environmental activism blocking operations
  • Unproven commercial mining feasibility
How strongly I feel

6/10

The Metals Company (TMC) is exploring deep-sea mining of polymetallic nodules as an alternative to traditional land-based mining for critical metals like nickel, copper, cobalt, and manganese. While the company could benefit from growing demand for these metals and first-mover advantages in a new industry, it remains highly speculative. Key risks include regulatory uncertainty, unproven commercial viability at scale, processing economics, and environmental concerns. Investors should view this as a checkpoint-based investment where each milestone reduces uncertainty.

Our take is based on reporting first published by The Motley Fool.

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