Skip to content
Axe Capital logo Axe Capital Trading News

If the AI Boom Slows Down, History Says This Is the Smartest Way to Protect Your Long-Term Portfolio

2026-09-02 18:05 Leo Sun The Motley Fool Positive Axe Cap view: Selective MacroInflationRatesEquitiesCapital ReturnsGeopoliticsTechnologyAISemiconductorsHealthcareConsumerRetail SCHDNVDAAVGOAMZNMRKAMGNABTKOCVX

Axe Cap view

Rethinking Growth: Why Dividend Stocks Matter if the AI Boom Cools

With AI excitement potentially fading, South African investors should consider dividend payers to stabilize returns.

The global buzz around AI stocks—think Nvidia and Broadcom—has powered markets, but inflation, rising rates, and geopolitics threaten to slow that momentum. For South Africans, this matters because the USD/ZAR exchange rate often reacts sharply to shifts in US tech sentiment. When growth tech stumbles, the rand tends to weaken, which hits investors relying on offshore exposure. Instead of chasing volatile AI plays, local investors should look at stable dividend payers that weather storms better. South African heavyweights like Standard Bank or Sasol offer solid dividends and income even when markets jitter. This approach helps cushion against rand swings and global tech sell-offs. It’s worth considering exchange-traded funds focusing on dividends or local counters with strong, reliable payouts. The risk? If the AI boom keeps accelerating faster than expected, you might miss out on sharp gains. this is just our opinion and not financial advice

How I would invest

Trim exposure to high-growth tech-linked stocks and increase allocation to dividend-paying South African firms like Standard Bank and Sasol. Consider funds with strong dividend histories to balance growth risk with income.

What I would watch
  • USD/ZAR
  • Standard Bank
  • Sasol
What could go wrong
  • further acceleration in AI driving tech rallies
  • unexpected rand strength reducing dividend income appeal
How strongly I feel

7/10

As concerns grow about a potential AI market slowdown due to inflation, rate hikes, and geopolitical tensions, investors should consider diversifying into dividend-focused ETFs like SCHD. The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF offers exposure to 100 stable, dividend-paying stocks across multiple sectors, providing a defensive hedge against AI stock volatility while delivering steady income and historical returns of 243% over the past decade.

Our take is based on reporting first published by The Motley Fool.

Read the original story