Skip to content
Axe Capital logo Axe Capital Trading News

Should You Buy Nvidia Stock in October? What Its Decade-Low Valuation Signals

2026-10-01 18:30 •Adria Cimino •The Motley Fool Positive Axe Cap view: Selective •Macro•Inflation•Equities•Earnings•Geopolitics•Technology•AI•Semiconductors •NVDA

Axe Cap view

Nvidia’s AI Play: Opportunity or Trap for SA Investors?

Nvidia’s valuation hits decade lows amid AI hype and market worries—what does this mean for South African investors?

Nvidia’s sharp pullback to a 28x trailing earnings multiple looks enticing, especially given its grip on AI chip markets and triple-digit profit growth. But South African investors must remember this is a US tech story first and foremost. The impact on local stocks like Naspers or Prosus is indirect at best, mostly trickling in through sentiment and the rand's reaction to tech-sector flows. The USD/ZAR exchange rate could see some volatility if Nvidia’s AI growth story either reignites enthusiasm or disappoints. Yet, don’t expect Nvidia’s gyrations to move local banks or retailers much. Still, Nvidia’s dominance in GPUs and AI infrastructure is fundamental, making it tough to bet against over the long run. The risk? The AI gold rush might face regulatory hurdles or cyclical tech pullbacks that keep sentiment muted. If global tech stalls hard, the rand could weaken on risk-off moves. For now, this feels more like a ‘watch and wait’ or selective buy case rather than an outright local buy signal. this is just our opinion and not financial advice

How I would invest

Avoid chasing Nvidia directly via the rand or select tech counters for now. Positioning in USD/ZAR hedges with some caution looks smarter until market direction clears. Watch Nvidia's earnings closely for signs of sustained momentum before adding to local tech picks.

What I would watch
  • NVDA
  • USD/ZAR
What could go wrong
  • AI adoption setbacks
  • Global tech market pullback
How strongly I feel

6/10

Nvidia stock is trading at a decade-low valuation of 28x trailing earnings amid market headwinds from inflation and geopolitical concerns. Despite a slowdown from its explosive growth trajectory, the company remains well-positioned in the AI market with strong fundamentals, triple-digit revenue and profit growth, and a comprehensive product ecosystem. Analysts recommend buying for long-term investors given the early-stage AI market opportunity expected to reach trillions of dollars.

Our take is based on reporting first published by The Motley Fool.

Read the original story