Should You Buy Nvidia Stock Before Aug. 26? Here's What History Suggests.
2026-08-04 17:12
•Adam Spatacco •The Motley Fool
•••••• •••••••••• Axe Cap view
Nvidia Earnings: Wait or Buy Before Aug. 26?
Nvidia’s AI-driven growth is strong, but recent post-earnings volatility suggests caution ahead of Q2 results.
Nvidia is at the heart of the AI boom, with hyperscalers like Google, Meta, and Microsoft pouring billions into data center upgrades powered by its GPUs. This supports a solid long-term growth story. However, the stock's recent pattern shows it often struggles to gain ground in the 1-3 months after earnings releases — sometimes even falling — despite strong fundamentals. For South African investors without direct exposure, watch USD/ZAR during this period; heightened tech earnings volatility abroad tends to strengthen the rand temporarily as risk appetite shifts. While Nvidia's narrative is great, trying to time your entry just before earnings can be costly. Instead, consider building a position gradually if you want exposure through offshore funds or tech trackers. Remember, a sudden market shift or less-than-stellar guidance from Nvidia could quickly reverse sentiment. this is just our opinion and not financial advice
Avoid buying Nvidia stock or related offshore tech funds right before August 26. Dollar-cost average positions instead over the coming months to reduce risk from post-earnings swings.
- USD/ZAR
- Nvidia via offshore tech ETFs
- Disappointing Nvidia earnings or guidance
- Increased global risk aversion hitting emerging markets and the rand
6/10
Nvidia is set to report Q2 fiscal 2027 earnings on Aug. 26 with analyst expectations for ~$91.8B in revenue and $2.08 EPS. While major AI hyperscalers continue robust capex spending on AI infrastructure—benefiting Nvidia's data center GPU business—historical analysis shows Nvidia stock has traded sideways to negative in the 1-3 months following earnings announcements over the past year, despite strong fundamentals. The article recommends dollar-cost averaging over time rather than attempting to time the earnings release.
Our take is based on reporting first published by The Motley Fool.