AST SpaceMobile vs. Rocket Lab: Which Space Stock Has More Upside?
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Space Stocks Take Off: AST SpaceMobile vs. Rocket Lab
Two distinct satellite plays, but which offers cleaner upside for South African investors?
AST SpaceMobile aims to connect smartphones directly via satellites, a flashy idea that could disrupt traditional telecom. Yet, it’s early days, and turning this ambition into steady cash flow is uncertain. Rocket Lab, by contrast, has a broader approach—building rockets and satellite networks with solid government contracts, including juicy US Space Force deals worth hundreds of millions. For South Africans, the direct benefit is limited, but the rand’s dollar exposure via USD/ZAR means these US-based plays impact risk appetite. On the JSE, look at MTN’s ongoing push into digital and infrastructure—it’s the local mirror to these space-age ambitions, though less speculative. I’d watch Rocket Lab for now, given its contract pedigree, but keep ASTS on the radar as a speculative long shot. These views hinge on the success of these technology ventures materializing into regular cash flow, which is never guaranteed. this is just our opinion and not financial advice
I’d cautiously watch Rocket Lab for gains and trim if valuations inflate; avoid AST SpaceMobile for now due to its early-stage risk. For JSE exposure, MTN remains preferable on a structural growth story tied to satellite and telecom tech.
- RKLB
- ASTS
- MTN
- USD/ZAR
- ASTS may fail to scale its smartphone connectivity model
- US government contracts for Rocket Lab could be delayed or reduced
6/10
AST SpaceMobile and Rocket Lab are pursuing different strategies in the satellite communications market. AST SpaceMobile focuses on connecting smartphones from orbit, while Rocket Lab is building a diversified space platform. The article examines which company's ability to convert ambitious networks into recurring cash flow will create more long-term value for investors.
Our take is based on reporting first published by The Motley Fool.