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Why Deere Stock Hit an All-Time High This Week

2026-09-05 14:35 Howard Smith The Motley Fool Positive Axe Cap view: Selective EquitiesEarningsGeopolitics DE

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Deere's Peak and What It Means for SA Agri Play

Deere's record run points to a turning point in global agriculture that South African investors should watch closely.

Deere & Co. hitting an all-time high above $700 isn’t just a US story—it signals a potential global shift in the agricultural equipment cycle. CEO May’s call that 2026 will mark the bottom points to tough years ahead but also a looming recovery. For South African investors, the connection is through USD/ZAR and local agri-related stocks. A stronger Deere usually hints at rising farm investment, which could eventually boost companies like Barloworld, which distributes heavy machinery locally. That said, South African farmers face their own pressures, from erratic weather to energy costs. USD/ZAR is also worth watching; it typically reacts to global risk sentiment and commodity prices impacted by agricultural demand. If Deere’s optimism fades or the global economy slips, the pickup might stall. For now, Deere’s optimism gives a cautious nod to the ag sector here. this is just our opinion and not financial advice

How I would invest

Watch Deere for signs of global ag health—when Deere’s uptrend steadies, consider selectively adding Barloworld on dips. Keep a close eye on USD/ZAR movements for broader risk cues.

What I would watch
  • Barloworld
  • USD/ZAR
What could go wrong
  • global commodity price shifts
  • domestic weather and input costs impacting SA farmers
How strongly I feel

6/10

Deere & Co. stock reached a record high above $700 per share this week, jumping 10% following a strong Q3 earnings report and a $250 million increase to full-year net income guidance. CEO John May indicated that 2026 will mark the bottom of the agricultural equipment cycle, signaling the start of a recovery. Analyst Mircea Dobre maintains a buy rating and projects the stock could reach $800, representing 15% upside potential.

Our take is based on reporting first published by The Motley Fool.

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