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Citigroup Just Opened a "90-Day Catalyst Watch" on SpaceX, While JPMorgan Chase More Than Doubled Its Price Target. Here's Why Wall Street Is Now So Bullish on the Stock

2026-10-26 10:30 •Bram Berkowitz •The Motley Fool Positive Axe Cap view: Selective •Equities•Earnings•Technology•AI•Semiconductors•Financials•Autos •SPCX•C•CPN•CPR•AMJB•JPM•JPMPC•JPMPD•JPMPJ•JPMPK•JPMPL•JPMPM•VYLD•TSLA

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Wall Street's SpaceX Optimism Is Overheated for SA Investors

Despite Wall Street's big upgrades on SpaceX, South African investors should focus elsewhere as local market linkages are thin.

SpaceX’s latest earnings beat and Elon Musk’s ambitious targets have hyped Wall Street analysts to dramatically raise price targets. Citigroup’s “90-day catalyst watch” and JPMorgan’s doubling of their price target reflect enthusiasm around AI compute and launch innovations. But this excitement belongs to a very niche, high-risk tech story based in the US private space sector. For South African investors, there’s no direct way to play SpaceX’s upside. Instead, keep an eye on the rand’s reaction against the dollar. A stronger USD amid global tech optimism can put pressure on USD/ZAR, making rand-hedged positions more complex. Locally, focus remains better placed on financials like FirstRand and Standard Bank, which benefit from domestic economic activity rather than speculative tech booms. If Elon Musk’s ventures stumble again, global risk sentiment could sour, reversing moves in emerging markets and the rand. this is just our opinion and not financial advice

How I would invest

Avoid chasing SpaceX-related themes via the local market; instead, watch USD/ZAR trends and hold financials like FirstRand. Trim exposure if the rand weakens sharply on global tech sell-offs.

What I would watch
  • USD/ZAR
  • FirstRand
What could go wrong
  • Elon Musk project delays or failures
  • USD strength hurting emerging market currencies
How strongly I feel

5/10

SpaceX reported strong Q3 earnings with $14.6B in revenue and $4.4B net income, beating expectations significantly. CEO Elon Musk projected ambitious goals including 10 GW of AI compute capacity by end of 2027 and $500B-$1T annual recurring revenue. Wall Street responded positively with Citigroup placing the stock on an "upside 90-day catalyst watch" with a $240 price target, while JPMorgan Chase more than doubled its target to $500. However, the author expresses skepticism about the aggressive analyst projections given execution risks and Musk's historical track record of delays.

Our take is based on reporting first published by The Motley Fool.

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