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Shopify Was Supposed to Be an AI Casualty. Its AI-Referred Traffic Just Tripled.

2026-08-08 10:14 Daniel Sparks The Motley Fool Positive Axe Cap view: Selective EquitiesEarningsM&ATechnologyAISemiconductorsConsumerRetail SHOP

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Shopify’s AI Surge: A Lesson for SA Tech Investors

Shopify’s AI-driven growth surprises, raising questions for South African tech exposure.

Shopify’s Q2 numbers show AI isn’t just a disruptor—it’s a growth engine. Their AI-referred traffic tripled, and buyers from AI channels convert at almost twice the rate of traditional ones. This is a rare example where AI doesn't cannibalize a company’s business but actually boosts it. For South African investors, Shopify’s story challenges the skeptical view many hold towards high-growth tech. Prosus and Naspers, which hold big stakes in global tech, might benefit indirectly if AI-driven adoption broadens on their platforms. But remember, Shopify trades on a sky-high 70x forward earnings multiple. If global interest rates rise or tech sentiment sours, these valuations could come under pressure. For local investors, the tech uplift may translate into a modest positive for Prosus, but it’s not a slam dunk. this is just our opinion and not financial advice

How I would invest

Watch Prosus closely but avoid chasing high multiples here. Prefer to lean on steady earners like Standard Bank or FirstRand until the tech rally proves sustainable. Keep an eye on USD/ZAR as a reflection of global risk appetite impacting these plays.

What I would watch
  • Prosus
  • USD/ZAR
  • Standard Bank
What could go wrong
  • global tech valuation correction
  • rising US interest rates
  • volatile rand currency impacting offshore earnings
How strongly I feel

6/10

Shopify's Q2 earnings report showed AI-referred traffic and orders tripled year-over-year, with new buyers from AI channels converting at nearly twice the rate of traditional channels. The company's core business also accelerated with 34% revenue growth to $3.6B and 32% GMV growth to $115.6B. Despite strong results, the stock's 70x forward earnings multiple means the positive news may already be priced in.

Our take is based on reporting first published by The Motley Fool.

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