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Meet the Low-Cost Vanguard ETF That Just Gained 11% Over 4 Days, Thanks to a Combined 33% Weighting in Nvidia, Microsoft, Micron, and Broadcom. Here's Why It's Still a Top Buy Now.

2026-08-07 15:27 Daniel Foelber The Motley Fool Positive Axe Cap view: Selective EquitiesEarningsTechnologyAISemiconductors VGTNVDAMSFTAAPLAVGOMUAMD

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Why Tech’s Big 4 Are Still Worth a Look Despite the Run

Vanguard’s tech-heavy ETF surged 11% in days, driven by Nvidia, Microsoft, Micron, and Broadcom, showing AI and chip demand still fuel growth.

The recent spike in Vanguard’s Information Technology ETF (VGT) shines a light on how a handful of tech giants continue to carry the sector — Nvidia, Microsoft, Micron, and Broadcom make up a third of the fund. Nvidia's AI-driven momentum and Microsoft’s strong guidance suggest these firms aren't just riding a hype wave. Semiconductors like Micron and Broadcom benefit from tight supply and increased chip demand, reinforcing solid earnings potential. That said, the concentration risk here is real: a stumble in any top holding could hammer returns. For South African investors, while direct exposure to U.S. tech remains limited, a weaker rand against the dollar (USD/ZAR) can increase the local cost of tech stocks and tech-related services. On the flip side, select JSE names like Naspers and Prosus, with their global tech exposure, offer a local proxy to ride some of this thematic growth. Watch volatility closely, especially if inflation or interest rates surprise to the upside, lifting discount rates and deflating rich valuations. this is just our opinion and not financial advice

How I would invest

Take a selective buy approach: consider trimming exposure to expensive U.S. tech but accumulate Prosus and Naspers for measured AI and tech sector growth exposure. Keep an eye on the rand; a weakening USD/ZAR would support these proxies. Avoid chasing momentum directly in VGT on a spike.

What I would watch
  • Prosus
  • Naspers
  • USD/ZAR
What could go wrong
  • Tech valuations reset amid higher interest rates
  • Sharp rand depreciation making imported tech exposure costlier
How strongly I feel

7/10

The Vanguard Information Technology ETF (VGT) gained 11% over four trading days following strong earnings reports from Microsoft and Amazon. The ETF's performance is heavily driven by its top holdings in Nvidia, Microsoft, Micron, and Broadcom. Despite concerns about valuation, the article argues the tech sector remains a solid buy due to strong earnings growth, particularly in AI-related infrastructure and semiconductors. However, investors should be aware of concentration risk and the sector's volatility.

Our take is based on reporting first published by The Motley Fool.

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