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Caterpillar Is Quietly Becoming an AI Stock. Here's the Segment Growing 72% That Proves It.

2026-10-24 10:37 •Matthew Benjamin •The Motley Fool Positive Axe Cap view: Selective •Macro•Economy•Equities•Earnings•Technology•AI•Semiconductors•Consumer•Retail •CAT•NVDA•GOOG•GOOGL•GOOGM•GOOGN•MU

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Caterpillar’s Quiet AI Play Fuels Power Gear Surge

Caterpillar’s booming power generation segment is riding the AI data center wave, pushing backlog and sales sharply higher.

Caterpillar is not your typical AI stock, but its power generation equipment business is growing at a blistering pace—up 72% in Q2, underpinned by orders from data centers. As artificial intelligence pushes global data consumption and energy needs, Caterpillar’s diesel and gas generators become essential infrastructure. This isn’t flashy chip tech; it’s the heavy lifting behind the scenes, supporting the AI buildout through 2030 with a backlog up 92% to $72 billion. For South African investors, this story matters given how much the rand (USD/ZAR) can swing on global tech cycles and energy demand. Caterpillar’s growth signals sustained industrial demand, which can benefit rand-linked industrial and energy sectors indirectly and temper rand volatility. But if global AI growth cools or energy supply chains improve dramatically—like a sharp shift to renewables—Caterpillar’s power unit could lose steam. Still, it’s a rare industrial proxy on the AI trend. this is just our opinion and not financial advice

How I would invest

Watch USD/ZAR and consider selective exposure to industrial exporters and energy plays benefiting from sustained AI infrastructure demand. Avoid direct tech stocks with high multiples and opt for tangible asset-backed growth like Caterpillar through proxies if available.

What I would watch
  • USD/ZAR
  • Sasol
  • MTN
What could go wrong
  • Rapid adoption of renewable energy reducing demand for fossil fuel generators
  • A slowdown in global AI infrastructure spending impacting industrial capex
How strongly I feel

6/10

Caterpillar's power generation equipment segment is experiencing explosive growth driven by AI data center demand, with retail sales climbing 72% in Q2. The company's backlog has expanded 92% to a record $72 billion, with customers placing orders through 2030. As data centers consume increasing amounts of electricity (projected to double by 2030), Caterpillar positions itself as an indirect AI beneficiary through its power and energy solutions.

Our take is based on reporting first published by The Motley Fool.

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