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Here's Why USA Rare Earth Is a Buy Before Its Next Earnings Report

2026-09-05 14:30 Steven Porrello The Motley Fool Positive Axe Cap view: Selective EquitiesEarningsM&A USAR

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Why USA Rare Earth’s Serra Verde Deal Matters to JSE Investors

USAR’s acquisition of Serra Verde could reshape its cash flow trajectory and influence rare-earth supply dynamics relevant to South African miners.

USA Rare Earth (USAR) stands on the brink of a transformational deal with Brazil’s Serra Verde mine. This isn’t just another mining acquisition; it comes with a 15-year government-backed purchase agreement that shields revenue against price swings. For South African investors used to volatile commodity conditions, that kind of stability is rare. While USAR itself isn’t listed on the JSE, the global pivot toward electric vehicles and clean energy metals has direct implications for local miners like AngloGold Ashanti, which could benefit from higher rare-earth demand pushing broader mining valuations on the JSE. The USD/ZAR rate could also react if USAR’s success validates stronger dollar interest in African resource plays. The deal is poised to turn USAR from a speculative pre-revenue firm into a tangible cash generator, but beware: execution risk remains if the acquisition drags past November’s earnings or if Chinese supply dynamics shift unexpectedly. this is just our opinion and not financial advice

How I would invest

Watch USAR for a potential buy once the acquisition closes and financials confirm. Meanwhile, consider selective exposure to JSE resource names like AngloGold Ashanti, which could benefit from higher rare-earth demand indirectly.

What I would watch
  • USAR
  • AngloGold Ashanti
  • USD/ZAR
What could go wrong
  • Delay in acquisition closing
  • Shifts in China’s rare-earth export policies
How strongly I feel

6/10

USA Rare Earth is positioned for significant growth following its pending acquisition of Serra Verde, a Brazilian rare-earth mine expected to generate $550-650 million in annualized EBITDA by end of 2027. The acquisition, which should close before the next earnings report in early November, includes a 15-year government-backed purchase agreement with price protections, potentially transforming USA Rare Earth from a pre-revenue company into one with substantial cash flow.

Our take is based on reporting first published by The Motley Fool.

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