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SpaceX Stock Drops Below $170: Here Is What History Says Investors Should Do

2026-10-14 15:30 •Jack Delaney •The Motley Fool Neutral Axe Cap view: Neutral •Equities•IPOs •SPCX•GOOG•GOOGL•GOOGM•GOOGN

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SpaceX IPO Volatility: No Direct Impact for JSE Investors

SpaceX's volatile debut and pullback do not translate into local opportunities; focus stays on rand and resilient South African stocks.

SpaceX recently dropped below its $170 IPO price, reflecting early jitters common to high-profile tech listings. While its expansion into wireless and space delivery services is promising, the stock’s swings won't sway the JSE directly. South African investors should rather watch the USD/ZAR exchange rate, which will feel global tech risk sentiment more tangibly. A weaker rand usually lifts exporters like AngloGold Ashanti or Sasol, while banks like Standard Bank or FirstRand lean on the domestic economy and rand stability. Given SpaceX’s unprofitability and insider selling worries, it’s premature to treat this as a buy signal from a local perspective. If the rand strengthens sharply alongside dollar weakness, we might trim exporters and favor domestic-focused stocks like Shoprite. Remember, local markets are not satellites orbiting private US tech IPOs yet. this is just our opinion and not financial advice

How I would invest

Stay neutral on tech and don’t chase SpaceX excitement indirectly; keep exposure balanced with select SA exporters to benefit from rand moves, and domestic shares to soften volatility. Watch USD/ZAR closely for trade triggers.

What I would watch
  • USD/ZAR
  • AngloGold Ashanti
  • Shoprite
What could go wrong
  • continued global tech sell-off affecting risk appetite
  • unexpected rand strengthening hurting exporters
How strongly I feel

5/10

SpaceX stock has declined from over $170 to around $153.63, following its June IPO at $150. Despite volatility including a low of $104.83 in August, the stock has rebounded on positive developments like expansion into wireless services and successful space delivery demonstrations. Historical market data suggests long-term investors should view price pullbacks as buying opportunities, as the S&P 500 has delivered consistent 6-9% annualized returns since 1950.

Our take is based on reporting first published by The Motley Fool.

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