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Robinhood Is Now Making More Money From Prediction Markets Than Crypto Trading. Here's What That Means For Crypto Investors

2026-07-30 20:15 Bram Berkowitz The Motley Fool Neutral Axe Cap view: Selective EquitiesEarningsCrypto HOOD

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Robinhood's New Betting Focus Highlights Crypto Setbacks

Robinhood’s shift from crypto trading to prediction markets signals broader challenges and opportunities for blockchain in South Africa.

Robinhood’s latest earnings reveal something interesting — their revenue from prediction markets now exceeds that from crypto trading. This isn’t just a quirky side story; it shows how volatile and taxing the crypto market has become, even for a major platform. Bitcoin, down 26% year-to-date, drags revenue with it. Yet, the underlying blockchain tech is not dead. Robinhood’s push into blockchain products like a proprietary chain and stablecoins underscores persistent demand for blockchain’s utility beyond speculation. For South African investors, the crypto winter matters because it keeps the rand under pressure when global crypto sentiment sours, hurting exporters and even retail stocks linked indirectly to tech, such as Naspers and Prosus. The prediction market’s rise could mean a shift away from pure speculation toward more diversified digital financial products globally — but local adoption in SA remains a watch point. If crypto recovers sharply, Robinhood’s crypto earnings might bounce back, so this isn’t a done deal. this is just our opinion and not financial advice

How I would invest

We're cautious on South African tech stocks like Naspers and Prosus given global crypto weakness but are watching for a crypto rebound as a catalyst to buy. Keep an eye on USD/ZAR since rand strength or weakness will sway both local tech earnings and resource exporters.

What I would watch
  • Naspers
  • Prosus
  • USD/ZAR
What could go wrong
  • Prolonged global crypto downturn dampening tech earnings
  • Rand volatility reflecting shifts in global risk appetite
How strongly I feel

6/10

Robinhood's event-based contracts revenue surged to $156 million in Q2 2026, surpassing crypto trading revenue of $100 million for the first time. The decline in crypto revenue reflects ongoing crypto winter, with Bitcoin down 26% year-to-date. However, Robinhood's new blockchain products, including Robinhood Chain and Robinhood Earn stablecoin, show strong underlying demand for blockchain technology despite weak crypto asset prices.

Our take is based on reporting first published by The Motley Fool.

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