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Down 48% From Its All-Time High, Sandisk Stock Is a Brilliant Buy Right Now

2026-08-04 09:34 Keithen Drury The Motley Fool Positive Axe Cap view: Selective EquitiesEarningsTechnologyAISemiconductors SNDK

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Memory Stocks and the Rand: A Curveball for Local Investors

Sandisk's deep correction offers lessons for South African investors watching tech and cyclical plays amid rand volatility.

Silicon Valley memory chip makers like Sandisk have seen a brutal selloff, down nearly half from their peak, despite strong fundamentals tied to AI growth and persistent supply issues. They’re trading at just six times forward earnings, signaling value if this cycle holds. For South African investors, the key is translating this into rand terms. A strengthening dollar usually hurts rand-based returns, but right now, the USD/ZAR remains volatile and could drift higher if global rate hikes persist. This makes jumping into US tech-for-tech’s-sake risky. Instead, I’d look at JSE counters that benefit indirectly. Take Naspers and Prosus – their big US tech stakes mean rand moves influence returns sharply. On the domestic front, with Rand pressure ongoing, exporters like AngloGold Ashanti and Sasol provide natural currency hedges. Waiting to see a clearer USD/ZAR direction before committing aggressively to tech or cyclical exposure seems wise. This call might be wrong if the rand suddenly rallies, boosting returns for US-exposed stocks. this is just our opinion and not financial advice

How I would invest

Hold local exporters and rand-hedged stocks like AngloGold and Sasol; watch Naspers/Prosus for better entry points if the rand weakens further. Avoid direct US tech bets through the rand until USD/ZAR stabilizes.

What I would watch
  • Naspers
  • Prosus
  • AngloGold Ashanti
  • Sasol
  • USD/ZAR
What could go wrong
  • Rand appreciation erodes dollar-based gains
  • AI hype fades, pulling down memory chip demand
How strongly I feel

6/10

Sandisk stock has fallen 48% from its all-time high in June despite strong business fundamentals. The article argues this presents a buying opportunity, as the company benefits from surging AI data center demand for NAND memory chips. With a low valuation of 6x forward earnings and sustained supply shortages expected to support elevated memory chip prices, the author believes the stock could recover to previous highs.

Our take is based on reporting first published by The Motley Fool.

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