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Apple Is Down 10%. Should Investors Buy the Dip?

2026-08-04 16:15 Catie Hogan The Motley Fool Neutral Axe Cap view: Selective EquitiesEarningsCapital ReturnsTechnologyAISemiconductors AAPL

Axe Cap view

Is Apple’s 10% Drop a Buying Opportunity?

Apple’s earnings beat expectations but cautious guidance and rising memory costs spooked investors.

Apple’s recent 10% share price drop feels sharper than warranted by fundamentals. Yes, management warned about rising DRAM and NAND chip costs, which squeeze margins and dent near-term profit visibility. The guidance for Q4 revenue growth at 9-11%, below the 12% street estimate, added to concerns. But look closer: revenue still grew 16% year-on-year, driven by strong product demand—not a small feat given global supply chain hurdles. This memory shortage isn’t unique to Apple; it’s an industry-wide challenge, suggesting cost pressures may ease as suppliers catch up. Apple’s conservative approach to AI spending means it’s not overextending financially on a tech fad. For rand investors, a weaker USD/ZAR would naturally boost earnings in rands, softening the blow. The risk? If memory prices stay high or consumer appetite wanes, results may disappoint further. But patience here could be rewarded with a leading tech giant at a discount. this is just our opinion and not financial advice

How I would invest

We’d watch Apple closely but consider buying the dip selectively, especially if USD/ZAR weakens. Avoid heavy allocation until guidance clarity improves.

What I would watch
  • AAPL
  • USD/ZAR
What could go wrong
  • Prolonged memory cost inflation
  • Slowing consumer tech demand
How strongly I feel

6/10

Apple stock fell 10% after reporting record earnings but disappointing guidance. Services revenue missed expectations at $30.7B, and management cited serious DRAM and NAND memory shortages driving up costs. Q4 guidance of 9-11% revenue growth fell short of analyst expectations of 12%. Despite the decline, the company maintains strong product demand with 16% YoY revenue growth, and the memory shortage is industry-wide rather than Apple-specific.

Our take is based on reporting first published by The Motley Fool.

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