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Nvidia and Micron Technology Just Received Some Very Bad News From an Unlikely Place

2026-10-12 10:06 •Anthony Di Pizio •The Motley Fool Negative Axe Cap view: Selective •Equities•Earnings•IPOs•Technology•AI•Semiconductors •NVDA•MU•MSFT•AMZN•GOOG•GOOGL•GOOGM•GOOGN•META

Axe Cap view

AI Infrastructure Woes Hit Nvidia and Micron Hard

A cancelled AI data center IPO signals potential slowdown in semiconductor demand, impacting Nvidia and Micron negatively.

The recent cancellation of Firmus’s $5 billion IPO signals a shift in the AI infrastructure environment. Investors are growing wary of ramping up spending in this space, which points to slower demand for key semiconductor players like Nvidia and Micron. GPU chips and high-bandwidth memory, crucial for AI workloads, face pressure as companies hike AI service prices and start limiting usage to manage costs. On the JSE, this makes Prosus—and by extension, Naspers—as local proxies for the global tech slowdown, less attractive in the short term given their hefty AI exposure via Tencent. Meanwhile, USD/ZAR could see some rand strength if global tech shares continue falling, driven by waning AI enthusiasm. This view may be wrong if AI adoption proves stickier than expected or if new applications suddenly burst demand higher. this is just our opinion and not financial advice

How I would invest

Trim exposure to Prosus and Naspers as AI growth expectations moderate. Watch USD/ZAR for rand strength opportunities amid tech sell-offs. Avoid adding Nvidia or Micron-related plays until the sector shows clearer signs of stabilization.

What I would watch
  • Prosus
  • Naspers
  • USD/ZAR
What could go wrong
  • Renewed AI investment surge lifting semiconductor demand
  • Rand weakening due to external shocks despite tech sector weakness
How strongly I feel

6/10

Australian AI data center company Firmus cancelled its $5 billion IPO due to weak investor demand, signaling potential funding challenges in the AI infrastructure sector. This development raises concerns about future semiconductor demand for Nvidia and Micron, as companies are raising AI service prices and businesses are restricting AI usage to control costs. While both stocks appear cheap by valuation metrics, the market may be pricing in slower earnings growth ahead.

Our take is based on reporting first published by The Motley Fool.

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