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Intuitive Surgical's Growth Has Cooled From Its Post-Pandemic Highs. Is That a Buying Opportunity or a Warning?

2026-09-05 19:15 Reuben Gregg Brewer The Motley Fool Positive Axe Cap view: Selective EquitiesEarningsTechnologyAISemiconductors ISRGMDTJNJ

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Slowing Growth in Surgical Robotics: Watch Intuitive Surgical Carefully

Intuitive Surgical’s run has cooled, but its revenue base still looks steady amid rising competition.

Intuitive Surgical’s 40% drop from recent highs hasn’t been kind to shareholders, largely due to slowing sales of its flagship da Vinci surgical robots. With big players like Medtronic and Johnson & Johnson ramping up competition, growth fears are understandable. But what makes Intuitive Surgical interesting is its recurring revenue model—three-quarters of its sales come from parts and services, much like a subscription — which cushions the business from sudden shocks. Valuations are now below their five-year average, which suggests some market skepticism might be overdone. If AI developments begin to streamline robotic surgery further, this could be a catalyst for renewed growth. Still, investors should be wary: if competition erodes pricing power or slows adoption more than expected, the story will falter. For South African investors, this points to watching USD/ZAR carefully, as offshore tech stories remain sensitive to currency moves and dollar strength. this is just our opinion and not financial advice

How I would invest

Tilt towards watching Intuitive Surgical closely rather than buying outright; consider trimming international tech exposure if the USD/ZAR weakens sharply as it may pressure returns. For now, wait for clearer signs of competitive stability.

What I would watch
  • ISRG
  • USD/ZAR
What could go wrong
  • Increased competition squeezing margins
  • USD/ZAR volatility impacting offshore returns
How strongly I feel

5/10

Intuitive Surgical's stock has declined 40% from recent highs amid slowing da Vinci robot sales growth due to increased competition from Medtronic and Johnson & Johnson. However, the company's core business model relies on recurring revenue from parts and services (75% of revenue), which provides stable annuity-like income streams. With valuation metrics below five-year averages and continued AI opportunities, the stock may represent a buying opportunity for aggressive growth investors despite its historical volatility.

Our take is based on reporting first published by The Motley Fool.

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