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Palantir's Profit Nearly Quadrupled Over the Past Year. Its Stock Fell 40% From Its High. Both Numbers Get Tested on Aug. 3.

2026-07-30 13:14 Daniel Sparks The Motley Fool Neutral Axe Cap view: Selective EquitiesEarningsTechnologyAISemiconductors PLTR

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Palantir’s Earnings Boom Masks Stock Risks

Palantir’s profits have surged but its share price lags, highlighting valuation doubts.

Palantir’s near quadrupling of profit to $2.28 billion and 85% revenue growth sound impressive, especially with its U.S. commercial segment doubling revenues. But the stock’s 40% drop from its peak and an 80x forward price-to-earnings ratio expose deep investor skepticism. In South Africa, while we don’t have a direct tech equivalent, this story shows why local investors should be wary of paying up heavily for growth stocks like Naspers or Prosus, which also trade on hopes of explosive growth. The upcoming August 3 earnings report will be the real test: can Palantir sustain this hypergrowth or is this a peak before a correction? The rand is likely to react if global risk appetite shifts, especially if USD/ZAR spikes on tech selloffs. My view is that overly stretched multiples deserve a cautious stance, even when earnings numbers gleam. this is just our opinion and not financial advice

How I would invest

Wait to see if Palantir can maintain its growth before adding exposure, and trim tech-heavy holdings like Naspers and Prosus that are priced for perfection.

What I would watch
  • PLTR
  • Naspers
  • Prosus
  • USD/ZAR
What could go wrong
  • Palantir sustaining hypergrowth beyond expectations
  • strong USD causing rand weakness impacting local shares
How strongly I feel

6/10

Palantir Technologies has delivered exceptional business results with net income nearly quadrupling to $2.28 billion and Q1 revenue growing 85% year-over-year, yet its stock has fallen 40% from its high of $207.52. The disconnect reflects investor concerns about valuation, with the stock trading at an 80x forward P/E multiple that prices in years of extraordinary growth. The company's Aug. 3 earnings report will test whether growth can sustain at current levels, particularly in the fast-growing U.S. commercial segment which grew 133% year-over-year.

Our take is based on reporting first published by The Motley Fool.

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