Alphabet's Oct. 28 earnings report will be critical for investors to assess whether Google Cloud's growing profits are translating into actual cash flow. The company posted negative free cash flow of $5.9 billion in Q2 despite strong cloud growth, and is now spending more on capex ($195-205B annually) than it generates in operating cash flow ($185.7B over trailing 12 months). Investors should focus on whether operating cash flow returns to the $45-50 billion range to confirm the AI investment is self-funding, or if the company continues relying on shareholder capital.
Axe note: Alphabet’s earnings on Oct. 28 must prove cloud profits turning into real cash flow or risk stalling stock gains.