A $10,000 investment in Rocket Lab three years ago would be worth approximately $81,000 today, despite a 61% drawdown from its peak of $151. The company has demonstrated strong operational growth with revenue increasing from $245M (2023) to $602M (2025), a record backlog of $2.2B, and a major $266M Space Force contract. However, the pending $8B acquisition of Iridium Communications raises concerns about financing costs and dilution, with the company still unprofitable and trading at over 50x trailing revenue.
Axe note: Rocket Lab’s 8x return masks risks from a pricey Iridium deal and big losses.