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Clear market notes built around the JSE, the rand, and what matters locally.

Axe Capital Trading News shares simple market takes on the stories moving South African shares, the rand, and a handful of major currency pairs.

What you will find here:

1. JSE shares, South African companies, and the local knock-on effects of big market news.

2. The rand, interest rates, and a small group of forex pairs, with USD/ZAR at the centre.

3. Global stories only when they can actually change how a local investor might act.

Latest market stories

3 Things Investors Must Watch in Duolingo's Second-Quarter Earnings
2026-08-05 19:32 The Motley Fool Positive Axe Cap view: Selective

Duolingo enters Q2 earnings with a major strategic shift toward long-term user growth over near-term monetization. Investors should focus on three key metrics: daily active user (DAU) growth trajectory toward the 100 million DAU target by 2028, the balance between margin pressure and user engagement gains, and management's confidence in executing the 2026 strategy. The company is deliberately investing in free features and AI capabilities, which will pressure profitability but should drive user acquisition.

Axe note: Duolingo's pivot to long-term daily user growth but with short-term profit pressure has an indirect impact on the rand via tech sector FX flows.

Schwab Emerging Markets ETF vs State Street Climate Fund: Do Emerging Markets or Climate Stocks Offer Better Growth in 2026?
2026-08-05 19:31 The Motley Fool Positive Axe Cap view: Selective

The article compares two ETFs: Schwab Emerging Markets Equity ETF (SCHE) and State Street SPDR MSCI ACWI Climate Paris Aligned ETF (NZAC). SCHE offers lower fees (0.06%), higher dividend yield (2.6%), and better recent 1-year performance (20.1%), while NZAC provides broader global ESG-screened exposure with stronger long-term returns. The author recommends SCHE for 2026 as it better delivers on its emerging markets promise, whereas NZAC functions as a closet tech/growth fund despite its climate focus.

Axe note: For South African investors, the Schwab Emerging Markets ETF's genuine emerging markets focus and dividend yield make it a better 2026 play than broad climate-themed funds.

Will ASML Split Its Stock This Year?
2026-08-05 19:17 The Motley Fool Positive Axe Cap view: Neutral

ASML's share price has surged above $1,700, making it a candidate for a stock split. However, recent semiconductor sector weakness and ASML's high valuation (37x forward earnings) suggest a split is unlikely in 2026, with 2027 or 2028 being more probable. The company has not conducted a forward split since 2000.

Axe note: ASML’s high share price and sector buzz don’t guarantee a stock split soon, with semiconductor earnings and momentum concerns holding it back.

What we follow

We keep the focus on JSE shares, the rand, and the currency moves that matter most to South African investors.

JSE and rand