Eli Lilly has significantly outperformed Novo Nordisk in the booming GLP-1 obesity drug market, with Lilly commanding 60% market share compared to Novo's smaller portion of the combined 87% duopoly. While the obesity drug market is projected to grow from $66 billion in 2025 to $120 billion by 2030, Lilly's stock has surged 58% over 52 weeks, whereas Novo has plummeted 62% since July 2024. However, Novo's recent launch of a pill-form obesity drug could shift the competitive landscape.
Axe note: Eli Lilly’s dominant market share drives stock gains, while Novo Nordisk's new pill faces an uphill battle.