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Clear market notes built around the JSE, the rand, and what matters locally.

Axe Capital Trading News shares simple market takes on the stories moving South African shares, the rand, and a handful of major currency pairs.

What you will find here:

1. JSE shares, South African companies, and the local knock-on effects of big market news.

2. The rand, interest rates, and a small group of forex pairs, with USD/ZAR at the centre.

3. Global stories only when they can actually change how a local investor might act.

Latest market stories

Microsoft Earns 31% More Than It Did a Year Ago and Is Worth Less
2026-08-26 16:38 The Motley Fool Mixed Axe Cap view: Selective

Microsoft reported strong fiscal 2026 results with net income up 31% to $133.7 billion and revenue up 18% to $331.8 billion. However, its market cap declined 4.5% year-over-year as investors reassessed the company's valuation from 37x to 27x earnings. The primary concern is Microsoft's massive capital expenditure surge to $175 billion for calendar 2026, which now exceeds its operating income, raising questions about the return on investment for AI infrastructure spending.

Axe note: Strong profit growth at Microsoft clashes with doubts over its massive AI spending spree.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's Plan to Calm the Bond Market Could Have Unintended Consequences for Fed Chair Kevin Warsh
2026-08-26 16:35 The Motley Fool Neutral Axe Cap view: Selective

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced an expansion of the Treasury's bond repurchase program from $2 billion to at least $4 billion of longer-dated bonds to ease long-term yields. However, this move could undermine Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's hawkish stance on inflation control, potentially creating confusion about whether the Treasury or Fed is driving monetary policy. The expanded program may weaken the dollar and lead to higher inflation, while also making it difficult for Warsh to justify raising interest rates.

Axe note: Expanding US Treasury bond repurchases may unsettle global rates and weigh on the rand, complicating SA’s monetary outlook.

Why nCino Stock Is Rising Today
2026-08-26 16:29 The Motley Fool Positive Axe Cap view: Selective

nCino stock recovered from an early market decline to trade in positive territory after reporting Q2 2027 results. While the company missed EPS expectations ($0.05 vs. $0.27 anticipated), it beat revenue estimates at $161 million versus $159.2 million expected. Management raised its fiscal 2027 guidance for both revenue ($644-$647 million) and free cash flow ($137-$142 million), driving investor optimism. The stock trades at a discount to its five-year average valuation multiple.

Axe note: nCino’s revenue beat and raised guidance have sparked renewed investor interest despite a weaker-than-expected EPS report.

What we follow

We keep the focus on JSE shares, the rand, and the currency moves that matter most to South African investors.

JSE and rand