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Clear market notes built around the JSE, the rand, and what matters locally.

Axe Capital Trading News shares simple market takes on the stories moving South African shares, the rand, and a handful of major currency pairs.

What you will find here:

1. JSE shares, South African companies, and the local knock-on effects of big market news.

2. The rand, interest rates, and a small group of forex pairs, with USD/ZAR at the centre.

3. Global stories only when they can actually change how a local investor might act.

Latest market stories

The Overlooked AI Stock Poised to Outperform Nvidia and Palantir
2026-10-06 07:35 • The Motley Fool Positive Axe Cap view: Selective

Vertiv, a liquid cooling specialist, is positioned as a critical AI infrastructure play that may outperform Nvidia and Palantir. As AI chips generate excessive heat that air cooling cannot manage, Vertiv's liquid cooling systems have become essential for data centers. The company reported 24% YoY revenue growth in Q2 with management guidance for 31% full-year growth, while trading at a relatively attractive 1-year forward P/E of 28 and a PEG ratio of 0.84.

Axe note: Liquid cooling specialist Vertiv stands out as a critical enabler of AI data centres with strong growth and attractive valuation.

Will Intel Bring Back Its Dividend Now That Its Stock Has Tripled?
2026-10-06 07:16 • The Motley Fool Negative Axe Cap view: Bearish

Despite Intel's stock tripling in 2026, the company is unlikely to restore its dividend anytime soon. Intel suspended its dividend in late 2024, conditioning its return on achieving sustainably higher free cash flow. However, the company's adjusted free cash flow remained negative in both quarters of 2026, with capital spending expected to exceed $20 billion this year and rise further in 2027. A recent $23 billion stock offering and growing debt suggest Intel is prioritizing investment in manufacturing capacity over shareholder returns.

Axe note: Intel’s hefty capex and debt load mean dividends won’t return soon, even after a 3x stock rally.

Is Vanguard's Growth ETF a Buy at a Record High?
2026-10-06 05:27 • The Motley Fool Positive Axe Cap view: Selective

Vanguard's Growth ETF (VUG) hit a record high of $92, up 31% from its March low. While it has outperformed the S&P 500 ETF over 10 years (18.2% vs 15.5% annually), this outperformance came in bursts, particularly in 2023-2024. Over the past five years, the S&P 500 fund actually slightly outperformed. The growth fund holds the same mega-cap tech companies as the S&P 500 fund but with heavier concentration (63% in top 10 holdings vs 38%), trading at a 30% premium valuation. The analyst suggests considering it for those wanting more growth exposure but recommends gradual buying rather than a lump sum, viewing it as a bigger bet on existing holdings rather than an upgrade.

Axe note: VUG’s lofty valuation and concentration risk make it a cautious buy despite its strong long-term returns.

What we follow

We keep the focus on JSE shares, the rand, and the currency moves that matter most to South African investors.

JSE and rand