Barclays analyst Anthony Valentini initiated a buy rating on SpaceX with a $254 price target, citing significant competitive moats in Starlink and potential orbital data centers. However, the author argues against buying the stock now, citing concerns about rapidly accelerating capital expenditures (309% increase in H1 2026), with over 80% directed toward AI investments that generated only $3.4B in revenue, and an expensive valuation with a P/S ratio of 68 compared to the tech sector average of under 8.
Axe note: Strong operations but stretched valuation and capex raise caution for SpaceX investors.